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| Analysis on Influencing Factors of Carbon Emissions from the Paper Industry in Fujian Province Based on LMDI Model |
| Received:July 17, 2023 |
| DOI：10.11981/j.issn.1000-6842.2023.04.60 |
| Key Words:paper industry;carbon emissions;LMDI decomposition;driving factors |
| Author Name | Affiliation | Postcode | | WANG Hongping* | Jinshan College， Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University， Fuzhou， Fujian Province， 350002 | 350002 | | LIU Kai* | College of Materials Engineering， Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University， Fuzhou， Fujian Province， 350108 | 350108 |
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| Abstract: |
| As a major paper industry province in China， the changes in carbon emissions from the paper industry in Fujian province are crucial for the development of carbon emissions in China’s paper industry. This study estimated the carbon dioxide （CO2） emissions from the paper industry in Fujian province from 2007 to 2021， analyzed the impact of its total assets， total asset output value rate， energy intensity， and energy structure on carbon emissions， and determined the main driving and controlling factors of carbon emissions using Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index （LMDI） method. The results indicate that： （1） The changes in CO2 emissions from the paper industry in Fujian province can be mainly divided into three stages： a slow increase from 2007 to 2013， a rapid increase from 2014 to 2018， and a stable state from 2019 to 2021； （2） The main contributors to CO2 emissions are coal and electricity， which account for nearly 50% and 50% of CO2 emissions during 2007—2021， respectively， and the proportion of CO2 generated by other energy sources is very low. The energy intensity shows a rapid decline stage （2007—2013） and a stable stage （2014—2021）； （3） The main driving factors for the increase in CO2 emissions are total assets and total asset value ratio， while the main inhibiting factor is energy intensity. Finally， some sustainable development policies were put forward for carbon reduction in the paper industry in Fujian province. |
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